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Timing trades around the Jailbreak update cycle

7 min readUpdated 2026-08-10458 words

Written and reviewed by the AtlasBlox trading team, who handle Jailbreak trades and orders every day. We update these pages when the game or the market changes.

Value lists move in predictable waves around updates. If you know roughly where you are in the cycle, you can buy the same item for noticeably less and sell it for noticeably more without predicting anything clever.

This guide maps the four phases of a typical cycle and what to do in each one.

Phase one: the announcement spike

As soon as new content is teased, anything associated with it jumps on speculation. Prices in this phase are driven by hype, not by completed trades, so they are unstable and often reverse within days.

This is a selling window, not a buying window. If you already hold something the announcement has lifted, this is usually the best exit you will get for months.

Phase two: release week chaos

On release, everyone is grinding the new content and nobody is paying attention to older items. Existing values dip because attention and cash both moved elsewhere. Meanwhile the new item is at its most available.

Buy older items here if you have cash. Avoid paying release week prices for the new thing.

  • Older items are cheapest when attention is on the new release.
  • New items are most available while everyone is still earning them.
  • Do not chase the new item in its first week.

Phase three: the settle

A few weeks later, completed trades start defining a real value for the new item and older items recover as attention returns. This is the calmest and fairest phase, and the best time to make big structural trades rather than opportunistic ones.

If you are unsure where you are in the cycle, you are probably here. Most of the year is this phase.

Phase four: off sale and the long climb

When an item leaves availability, supply stops growing. Values usually dip briefly as people dump duplicates, then climb slowly for a long time as the population grows and supply does not.

The dip right after an item goes off sale is one of the few reliably good buying moments in the game.

  • Sell into hype, buy into quiet.
  • The off sale dip is the classic entry point.
  • Long climbs are slow; do not expect a quick flip.

What not to do with timing

Do not overtrade. Every trade costs you a little in spread and attention, and the players who move constantly usually end up behind the ones who made four good decisions a year.

Timing is a tiebreaker, not a strategy. Buying a bad item at a good moment still leaves you holding a bad item.

Common questions

When is the best time to buy an item?

During release week for older items, or in the dip right after an item goes off sale.

When should I sell?

Into announcement hype, when speculation lifts prices above what completed trades support.

Do values recover after an update dip?

Usually within a few weeks, once attention moves back from the new content.

Keep reading

How we write these guides

Everything here comes from trades we run ourselves. Values in Jailbreak are community estimates rather than official numbers, so we describe how they move instead of promising exact prices. If something on this page is out of date, tell us on the contact page and we will correct it.

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